The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenNovember 5, 2026

Deus / Deus v Richters / Roper

M. DeusN. Deus
Winner
66
S. RichtersT. Roper
21
Court 600:56

Pre-match odds

Deus / Deus

61%

Avg Elo 1558

Richters / Roper

39%

Avg Elo 1518

Elo gap 40

Deus / Deus delivered as 61% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Deus / Deus first, Richters / Roper second.

68 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. The feed had gaps during this match, so some games are missing.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–0

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0

    1 game not captured

    —
  5. 5–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 5–2

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 6–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    Break
  8. 6–1

    Richters / Roper serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.