The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenNovember 5, 2026

Bergeron / Joris v Saadon / Al Khanji

J. BergeronM. Joris
Winner
66
K. SaadonM. Al Khanji
11
Grand Stand 100:31

Pre-match odds

Bergeron / Joris

63%

Avg Elo 1498

Saadon / Al Khanji

37%

Avg Elo 1451

Elo gap 47

Bergeron / Joris delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Bergeron / JorisSaadon / Al Khanji

76%
Points won
24%
85%
Points won on serve
33%
67%
Points won on return
15%
90%
1st-serve points won
37%
33%
2nd-serve points won
0%
63%
Points won returning 1st serve
10%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
83%
Break points converted
0%
11
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

76%
Points won
24%
86%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
14%
86%
1st-serve points won
33%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
11
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
4

Set 2

75%
Points won
25%
84%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
16%
94%
1st-serve points won
42%
33%
2nd-serve points won
0%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
6%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
100%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Bergeron / Joris first, Saadon / Al Khanji second.

41 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. The feed had gaps during this match, so some games are missing.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Bergeron / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Bergeron / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Bergeron / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

Set 26–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Bergeron / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Bergeron / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Bergeron / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  6. 5–0

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–0

    1 game not captured

    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.