The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenNovember 5, 2026

Arredondo / Padilla v Al Janahi / Walid

D. ArredondoJ. Padilla
Winner
66
A. Al JanahiR. Walid
32
Court 700:50

Pre-match odds

Arredondo / Padilla

43%

Avg Elo 1421

Al Janahi / Walid

57%

Avg Elo 1446

Elo gap 25

Arredondo / Padilla won as slight underdogs (43%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Arredondo / PadillaAl Janahi / Walid

63%
Points won
37%
82%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
18%
79%
1st-serve points won
53%
90%
2nd-serve points won
33%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
10%
67%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
3
8
Service games
9
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
80%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
20%
73%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Set 2

71%
Points won
29%
84%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
16%
86%
1st-serve points won
47%
80%
2nd-serve points won
25%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
100%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
4
0
Double faults
1

Point by point

Scores read Arredondo / Padilla first, Al Janahi / Walid second.

65 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.