The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenNovember 5, 2026

Dehnike / Abud v Segura / Di Francesco

F. DehnikeM. Abud
Winner
646
M. SeguraV. Di Francesco
362
Court 801:30

Pre-match odds

Dehnike / Abud

62%

Avg Elo 1567

Segura / Di Francesco

38%

Avg Elo 1523

Elo gap 44

Dehnike / Abud delivered as 62% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dehnike / AbudSegura / Di Francesco

55%
Points won
45%
70%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
30%
72%
1st-serve points won
60%
0%
2nd-serve points won
45%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
55%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
45%
Break points converted
33%
6
Longest run of points
7
13
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

59%
Points won
41%
80%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
20%
80%
1st-serve points won
55%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
64%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
36%
64%
1st-serve points won
76%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

64%
Points won
36%
68%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
32%
75%
1st-serve points won
44%
0%
2nd-serve points won
20%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Dehnike / Abud first, Segura / Di Francesco second.

116 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break

Set 24–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

Set 36–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Segura / Di Francesco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 0–15
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.