The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenNovember 5, 2026

Gonzalez / Miltos v Osses / Ruiz

M. GonzalezS. Miltos
Winner
76
F. OssesR. Ruiz
63
Court 801:15

Pre-match odds

Gonzalez / Miltos

92%

Avg Elo 1631

Osses / Ruiz

8%

Avg Elo 1422

Elo gap 210

Gonzalez / Miltos delivered as 92% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gonzalez / MiltosOsses / Ruiz

55%
Points won
45%
70%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
30%
71%
1st-serve points won
57%
60%
2nd-serve points won
64%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
36%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
33%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
4
11
Service games
10
2
Aces
0
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
68%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
57%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
20%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
74%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
26%
76%
1st-serve points won
58%
50%
2nd-serve points won
80%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4
2
Aces
0

Point by point

Scores read Gonzalez / Miltos first, Osses / Ruiz second.

101 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–6

Breaks 1–1

  1. 0–1

    Osses / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Osses / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Osses / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Osses / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Osses / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Osses / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Gonzalez / Miltos take it 6–4

    1. 1–0
    2. 2–0
    3. 2–1
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 2–4
    7. 3–4
    8. 4–4
    9. 5–4
    Tiebreak

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Osses / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Osses / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Osses / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Osses / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.