The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 5, 2026

Ortega / Calvo v Girdo / Andersson

M. OrtegaM. Calvo
Winner
66
A. GirdoZ. Andersson
02
Grand Stand 100:43

Pre-match odds

Ortega / Calvo

99%

Avg Elo 1902

Girdo / Andersson

1%

Avg Elo 1460

Elo gap 442

Ortega / Calvo delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ortega / CalvoGirdo / Andersson

72%
Points won
28%
68%
Points won on serve
24%
76%
Points won on return
32%
63%
1st-serve points won
26%
80%
2nd-serve points won
0%
74%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
100%
Break points converted
25%
8
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

86%
Points won
14%
86%
Points won on serve
14%
86%
Points won on return
14%
78%
1st-serve points won
14%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
86%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
1
3
Service games
3

Set 2

63%
Points won
37%
58%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
42%
57%
1st-serve points won
35%
60%
2nd-serve points won
0%
65%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
100%
Break points converted
25%
8
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Ortega / Calvo first, Girdo / Andersson second.

54 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Ortega / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Girdo / Andersson serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Ortega / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Girdo / Andersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Ortega / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Girdo / Andersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

Set 26–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Ortega / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Girdo / Andersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Ortega / Calvo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Girdo / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Ortega / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Girdo / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Ortega / Calvo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Girdo / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.