The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 5, 2026

Luttikhuis / Koek v Touly / Pothier

B. LuttikhuisM. Koek
62
C. ToulyL. Pothier
Winner
76
Grand Stand 201:38

Pre-match odds

Luttikhuis / Koek

39%

Avg Elo 1419

Touly / Pothier

61%

Avg Elo 1459

Elo gap 40

Touly / Pothier delivered as 61% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Luttikhuis / KoekTouly / Pothier

46%
Points won
54%
52%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
48%
53%
1st-serve points won
56%
40%
2nd-serve points won
100%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
43%
Break points converted
71%
6
Longest run of points
7
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

50%
Points won
50%
52%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
48%
51%
1st-serve points won
48%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
43%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

40%
Points won
60%
52%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
48%
55%
1st-serve points won
74%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Luttikhuis / Koek first, Touly / Pothier second.

111 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 3–3

  1. 0–1

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 40–30
    4. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–40
    3. 40–40
    4. A–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–30
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–ABP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  12. 6–6

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  13. 6–7

    Touly / Pothier take it 8–6

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–2
    3. 2–3
    4. 2–4
    5. 3–4
    6. 3–5
    7. 3–6
    8. 4–6
    9. 5–6
    10. 6–6
    11. 6–7
    Tiebreak

Set 22–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Break
  8. 2–6

    Touly / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.