The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 5, 2026

Osoro / Fassio v Silva / Santos

A. OsoroM. Fassio
Winner
66
A. SilvaC. Santos
13
Center Court00:57

Pre-match odds

Osoro / Fassio

98%

Avg Elo 1798

Silva / Santos

2%

Avg Elo 1458

Elo gap 340

Osoro / Fassio delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Osoro / FassioSilva / Santos

62%
Points won
38%
78%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
22%
76%
1st-serve points won
49%
100%
2nd-serve points won
57%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
42%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

72%
Points won
28%
88%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
12%
87%
1st-serve points won
38%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
13%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
71%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
29%
68%
1st-serve points won
55%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
29%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Osoro / Fassio first, Silva / Santos second.

73 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–30BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.