The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 5, 2026

Margherita / Sussarello v Cirne / Giusti

C. MargheritaG. Sussarello
Winner
67
C. CirneJ. Giusti
16
Court 501:39

Pre-match odds

Margherita / Sussarello

73%

Avg Elo 1509

Cirne / Giusti

27%

Avg Elo 1421

Elo gap 89

Margherita / Sussarello delivered as 73% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Margherita / SussarelloCirne / Giusti

56%
Points won
44%
62%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
38%
57%
1st-serve points won
49%
79%
2nd-serve points won
50%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
21%
43%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
6
9
Service games
10
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

64%
Points won
36%
75%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
25%
60%
1st-serve points won
43%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4
0
Double faults
1

Set 2

52%
Points won
48%
57%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
43%
56%
1st-serve points won
51%
62%
2nd-serve points won
60%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
27%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Margherita / Sussarello first, Cirne / Giusti second.

110 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 27–6

Breaks 3–3

  1. 0–1

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Break
  11. 6–5

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Cirne / Giusti serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Margherita / Sussarello take it 7–5

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–2
    4. 3–2
    5. 3–3
    6. 3–4
    7. 4–4
    8. 5–4
    9. 6–5
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.