The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 5, 2026

Rodriguez / Beltramino v Arancibia / Ahumada

C. RodriguezO. Beltramino
Winner
646
C. ArancibiaK. Ahumada
364
Court 702:21

Pre-match odds

Rodriguez / Beltramino

61%

Avg Elo 1530

Arancibia / Ahumada

39%

Avg Elo 1492

Elo gap 39

Rodriguez / Beltramino delivered as 61% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodriguez / BeltraminoArancibia / Ahumada

51%
Points won
49%
55%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
45%
57%
1st-serve points won
53%
52%
2nd-serve points won
50%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
48%
40%
Break points converted
62%
12
Longest run of points
8
15
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
58%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
42%
62%
1st-serve points won
52%
45%
2nd-serve points won
33%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
55%
50%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 2

41%
Points won
59%
39%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
61%
35%
1st-serve points won
54%
50%
2nd-serve points won
75%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
65%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
67%
Break points converted
100%
12
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
5

Set 3

55%
Points won
45%
65%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
35%
65%
1st-serve points won
53%
67%
2nd-serve points won
40%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
25%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Rodriguez / Beltramino first, Arancibia / Ahumada second.

154 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 2–3

  1. 0–1

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break

Set 36–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 15–0
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.