The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 5, 2026

Dubins / Morga v Bentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla

B. DubinsM. Morga
Winner
66
A. BentjerodtT. Del Real Bobadilla
20
Court 700:48

Pre-match odds

Dubins / Morga

53%

Avg Elo 1518

Bentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla

47%

Avg Elo 1507

Elo gap 11

Dubins / Morga won a near coin flip (53%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dubins / MorgaBentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla

73%
Points won
27%
79%
Points won on serve
33%
67%
Points won on return
21%
80%
1st-serve points won
29%
67%
2nd-serve points won
60%
71%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
83%
Break points converted
0%
12
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

65%
Points won
35%
72%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
28%
73%
1st-serve points won
39%
67%
2nd-serve points won
67%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
0%
12
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

86%
Points won
14%
92%
Points won on serve
20%
80%
Points won on return
8%
92%
1st-serve points won
15%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
85%
Points won returning 1st serve
8%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
1
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Dubins / Morga first, Bentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla second.

53 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Bentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Dubins / Morga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Bentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Dubins / Morga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Bentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Dubins / Morga serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Bentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Dubins / Morga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Bentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Dubins / Morga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Bentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Dubins / Morga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Bentjerodt / Del Real Bobadilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Dubins / Morga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.