The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 5, 2026

Mestach / Wyckaert v Yuri / Analía

A. MestachH. Wyckaert
Winner
66
F. YuriY. Analía
10
Court 800:39

Pre-match odds

Mestach / Wyckaert

67%

Avg Elo 1500

Yuri / Analía

33%

Avg Elo 1437

Elo gap 63

Mestach / Wyckaert delivered as 67% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Mestach / WyckaertYuri / Analía

68%
Points won
32%
74%
Points won on serve
37%
63%
Points won on return
26%
73%
1st-serve points won
31%
75%
2nd-serve points won
71%
69%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
67%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
6
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

65%
Points won
35%
76%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
24%
73%
1st-serve points won
33%
100%
2nd-serve points won
80%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Set 2

71%
Points won
29%
71%
Points won on serve
29%
71%
Points won on return
29%
73%
1st-serve points won
27%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
73%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Mestach / Wyckaert first, Yuri / Analía second.

48 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Yuri / Analía serving

    1. 30–15
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Yuri / Analía serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Yuri / Analía serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Yuri / Analía serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    Break

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Yuri / Analía serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Yuri / Analía serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Yuri / Analía serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.