The Padel Brief

SemifinalWomenNovember 6, 2026

Triay / Josemaria v Mansart / Godallier

Center Court00:54

Pre-match odds

Triay / Josemaria

99%

Avg Elo 2038

Mansart / Godallier

1%

Avg Elo 1577

Elo gap 462

Triay / Josemaria delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Triay / JosemariaMansart / Godallier

64%
Points won
36%
70%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
30%
72%
1st-serve points won
48%
33%
2nd-serve points won
12%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
88%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
83%
Break points converted
50%
12
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
67%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
33%
71%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
67%
Break points converted
50%
12
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
75%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
25%
73%
1st-serve points won
42%
100%
2nd-serve points won
25%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Triay / Josemaria first, Mansart / Godallier second.

84 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Triay / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Mansart / Godallier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Triay / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Mansart / Godallier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Triay / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Mansart / Godallier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Triay / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Mansart / Godallier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Triay / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Mansart / Godallier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Triay / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Mansart / Godallier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 0–0
    7. 30–40
    8. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Triay / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Mansart / Godallier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Triay / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Mansart / Godallier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.