The Padel Brief

SemifinalWomenNovember 6, 2026

Gonzalez / Fernandez v Collombon / Bahurel

B. GonzalezC. Fernandez
Winner
66
A. CollombonL. Bahurel
00
Center Court00:44

Pre-match odds

Gonzalez / Fernandez

99%

Avg Elo 2061

Collombon / Bahurel

1%

Avg Elo 1578

Elo gap 483

Gonzalez / Fernandez delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gonzalez / FernandezCollombon / Bahurel

77%
Points won
23%
86%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
14%
87%
1st-serve points won
28%
80%
2nd-serve points won
100%
72%
Points won returning 1st serve
13%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
55%
Break points converted
0%
13
Longest run of points
2
6
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

83%
Points won
17%
86%
Points won on serve
20%
80%
Points won on return
14%
82%
1st-serve points won
20%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
80%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
0%
13
Longest run of points
1
3
Service games
3

Set 2

72%
Points won
28%
86%
Points won on serve
36%
64%
Points won on return
14%
92%
1st-serve points won
33%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
8%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Gonzalez / Fernandez first, Collombon / Bahurel second.

51 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Gonzalez / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Gonzalez / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Gonzalez / Fernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Gonzalez / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Gonzalez / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Gonzalez / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.