The Padel Brief

SemifinalWomenNovember 6, 2026

Kjaergaard / Andersson v Groenveld / Betz

S. KjaergaardZ. Andersson
32
L. GroenveldM. Betz
Winner
66
Court 501:05

Pre-match odds

Kjaergaard / Andersson

53%

Avg Elo 1478

Groenveld / Betz

47%

Avg Elo 1467

Elo gap 11

Groenveld / Betz won a near coin flip (47%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Kjaergaard / AnderssonGroenveld / Betz

43%
Points won
57%
47%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
53%
44%
1st-serve points won
64%
100%
2nd-serve points won
53%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
47%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
17%
Break points converted
56%
4
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
49%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
51%
44%
1st-serve points won
63%
100%
2nd-serve points won
20%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
25%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 2

38%
Points won
62%
45%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
55%
45%
1st-serve points won
65%
0%
2nd-serve points won
70%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
30%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Kjaergaard / Andersson first, Groenveld / Betz second.

93 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Kjaergaard / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 30–30
    2. 15–30
    3. 40–40
    4. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Kjaergaard / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Kjaergaard / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Kjaergaard / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Kjaergaard / Andersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break

Set 22–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Kjaergaard / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Kjaergaard / Andersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 0–0
    5. 40–15
    6. 15–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Kjaergaard / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Kjaergaard / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.