The Padel Brief

SemifinalWomenNovember 6, 2026

Behram / Björk v Luttikhuis / Koek

Court 501:14

Pre-match odds

Upset
Behram / Björk

69%

Avg Elo 1488

Luttikhuis / Koek

31%

Avg Elo 1419

Elo gap 69

Luttikhuis / Koek won with a 31% chance — about 1 in 3.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Behram / BjörkLuttikhuis / Koek

41%
Points won
59%
46%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
54%
47%
1st-serve points won
69%
33%
2nd-serve points won
0%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
67%
Break points converted
38%
4
Longest run of points
8
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
43%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
57%
44%
1st-serve points won
68%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
38%
4
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Set 2

41%
Points won
59%
50%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
50%
50%
1st-serve points won
69%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
40%
3
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Behram / Björk first, Luttikhuis / Koek second.

85 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 1–0

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 23–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.