The Padel Brief

SemifinalWomenNovember 6, 2026

Silva / Santos v Giusti / Piltcher

A. SilvaM. Santos
662
J. GiustiR. Piltcher
Winner
276
Grand Stand 202:16

Pre-match odds

Silva / Santos

48%

Avg Elo 1478

Giusti / Piltcher

52%

Avg Elo 1485

Elo gap 7

Giusti / Piltcher won a near coin flip (52%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Silva / SantosGiusti / Piltcher

48%
Points won
52%
50%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
50%
53%
1st-serve points won
53%
14%
2nd-serve points won
60%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
86%
46%
Break points converted
67%
6
Longest run of points
8
14
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
71%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
29%
70%
1st-serve points won
45%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Set 2

46%
Points won
54%
51%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
49%
55%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
67%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 3

38%
Points won
62%
24%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
76%
29%
1st-serve points won
54%
0%
2nd-serve points won
43%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
71%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
33%
Break points converted
67%
2
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Silva / Santos first, Giusti / Piltcher second.

147 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–7

Breaks 2–2

  1. 1–0

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Giusti / Piltcher take it 7–2

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 2–4
    7. 2–5
    8. 2–6
    Tiebreak

Set 32–6

Breaks 2–4

  1. 0–1

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 2–6

    Giusti / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.