The Padel Brief

SemifinalWomenNovember 6, 2026

Santos / Ribeiro v Abbud / Cirne

C. SantosP. Ribeiro
Winner
756
A. AbbudC. Cirne
573
Grand Stand 202:45

Pre-match odds

Santos / Ribeiro

61%

Avg Elo 1393

Abbud / Cirne

39%

Avg Elo 1355

Elo gap 38

Santos / Ribeiro delivered as 61% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Santos / RibeiroAbbud / Cirne

52%
Points won
48%
55%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
45%
58%
1st-serve points won
51%
40%
2nd-serve points won
57%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
50%
Break points converted
30%
5
Longest run of points
5
16
Service games
17
0
Aces
1
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
55%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
45%
55%
1st-serve points won
52%
55%
2nd-serve points won
50%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
45%
75%
Break points converted
25%
3
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6
0
Aces
1

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
58%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
42%
65%
1st-serve points won
60%
29%
2nd-serve points won
75%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
71%
33%
Break points converted
40%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 3

56%
Points won
44%
53%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
47%
56%
1st-serve points won
40%
0%
2nd-serve points won
44%
60%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
44%
Break points converted
29%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Santos / Ribeiro first, Abbud / Cirne second.

174 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–5

Breaks 3–2

  1. 0–1

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 15–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  12. 7–5

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    Hold

Set 25–7

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

      Hold
    1. 2–3

      Abbud / Cirne serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 30–15
      4. 30–30
      5. 30–40
      Hold
    2. 3–3

      Santos / Ribeiro serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 40–0
      Hold
    3. 3–4

      Abbud / Cirne serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 15–30
      4. 15–40
      Hold
    4. 3–5

      Santos / Ribeiro serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 15–40BP
      5. 30–40BP
      6. 15–40BP
      7. 30–40BP
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–ABP
      Break
    5. 4–5

      Abbud / Cirne serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–15
      3. 30–30
      4. 40–30BP
      Break
    6. 5–5

      Santos / Ribeiro serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–30
      3. 30–30
      4. 40–30
      Hold
    7. 5–6

      Abbud / Cirne serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–30
      4. 40–30BP
      5. 40–40
      6. A–40BP
      7. 40–40
      8. 40–A
      Hold
    8. 5–7

      Santos / Ribeiro serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 30–30
      5. 30–40BP
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–ABP
      Break

    Set 36–3

    Breaks 4–2

    1. 1–0

      Abbud / Cirne serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 30–30
      5. 40–30BP
      6. 40–40
      7. A–40BP
      Break
    2. 2–0

      Santos / Ribeiro serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15
      Hold
    3. 3–0

      Abbud / Cirne serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 30–40
      5. 40–40
      6. A–40BP
      7. 40–40
      8. A–40BP
      9. 40–40
      10. A–40BP
      Break
    4. 3–1

      Santos / Ribeiro serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 15–30
      4. 15–40BP
      5. 30–40BP
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–ABP
      8. 40–40
      Break
    5. 3–2

      Abbud / Cirne serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40
      4. 15–40
      5. 0–40
      6. 15–40
      7. 0–40
      8. 15–40
      9. 30–40
      Hold
    6. 3–3

      Santos / Ribeiro serving

      1. 15–15
      2. 30–15
      3. 40–15
      4. 40–30
      5. 40–40
      6. 40–ABP
      7. 40–40
      Break
    7. 4–3

      Abbud / Cirne serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 0–0
      3. 15–0
      4. 15–15
      5. 30–15
      6. 30–30
      7. 40–30BP
      8. 40–40
      9. A–40BP
      10. 40–40
      Break
    8. 5–3

      Santos / Ribeiro serving

      1. 15–15
      2. 30–15
      3. 40–15
      4. 40–30
      5. 40–40
      6. A–40
      Hold
    9. 6–3

      Abbud / Cirne serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 40–15BP
      Break

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.