The Padel Brief

SemifinalWomenNovember 6, 2026

Mestach / Wyckaert v Gumulya / Sabrina

A. MestachH. Wyckaert
Winner
66
B. GumulyaF. Sabrina
12
Court 600:46

Pre-match odds

Mestach / Wyckaert

70%

Avg Elo 1500

Gumulya / Sabrina

30%

Avg Elo 1426

Elo gap 74

Mestach / Wyckaert delivered as 70% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Mestach / WyckaertGumulya / Sabrina

64%
Points won
36%
75%
Points won on serve
46%
54%
Points won on return
25%
76%
1st-serve points won
55%
50%
2nd-serve points won
20%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
62%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
8
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

68%
Points won
32%
74%
Points won on serve
36%
64%
Points won on return
26%
78%
1st-serve points won
47%
0%
2nd-serve points won
14%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
86%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
75%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
4

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
76%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
24%
75%
1st-serve points won
62%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4
0
Double faults
1

Point by point

Scores read Mestach / Wyckaert first, Gumulya / Sabrina second.

55 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Gumulya / Sabrina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Gumulya / Sabrina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Gumulya / Sabrina serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Gumulya / Sabrina serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Gumulya / Sabrina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Gumulya / Sabrina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Gumulya / Sabrina serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Gumulya / Sabrina serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.