The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Humphreys / Osses v Melisi / Brown

C. HumphreysF. Osses
33
A. MelisiT. Brown
Winner
66
Court 1301:02

Pre-match odds

Humphreys / Osses

54%

Avg Elo 1497

Melisi / Brown

46%

Avg Elo 1483

Elo gap 15

Melisi / Brown won a near coin flip (46%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Humphreys / OssesMelisi / Brown

43%
Points won
57%
52%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
48%
52%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
60%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
80%
4
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

42%
Points won
58%
45%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
55%
47%
1st-serve points won
63%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
25%
Break points converted
67%
2
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
58%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
42%
56%
1st-serve points won
72%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Humphreys / Osses first, Melisi / Brown second.

72 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Melisi / Brown serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Melisi / Brown serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Melisi / Brown serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Melisi / Brown serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Melisi / Brown serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Melisi / Brown serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Melisi / Brown serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Melisi / Brown serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Melisi / Brown serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Humphreys / Osses serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.