The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

De Armas / Ruiz v Bechard / Ashenden

J. De ArmasR. Ruiz
Winner
66
D. BechardS. Ashenden
24
Court 1301:04

Pre-match odds

De Armas / Ruiz

33%

Avg Elo 1448

Bechard / Ashenden

67%

Avg Elo 1508

Elo gap 60

De Armas / Ruiz won as slight underdogs (33%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

De Armas / RuizBechard / Ashenden

56%
Points won
44%
71%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
29%
72%
1st-serve points won
61%
67%
2nd-serve points won
33%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
30%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
63%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
37%
65%
1st-serve points won
54%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

55%
Points won
45%
80%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
20%
80%
1st-serve points won
67%
80%
2nd-serve points won
40%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
17%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read De Armas / Ruiz first, Bechard / Ashenden second.

83 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.