The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Leygue / Fonteny v Montoya / Barrientos

Court 700:54

Pre-match odds

Leygue / Fonteny

88%

Avg Elo 1593

Montoya / Barrientos

12%

Avg Elo 1422

Elo gap 171

Leygue / Fonteny delivered as 88% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Leygue / FontenyMontoya / Barrientos

60%
Points won
40%
70%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
30%
65%
1st-serve points won
48%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
56%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

68%
Points won
32%
68%
Points won on serve
33%
67%
Points won on return
32%
60%
1st-serve points won
31%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
69%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
3

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
72%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
28%
68%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Leygue / Fonteny first, Montoya / Barrientos second.

65 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Leygue / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Leygue / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Leygue / Fonteny serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Leygue / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Leygue / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Leygue / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Leygue / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Leygue / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.