The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Blanque / Guichard v Arredondo / Padilla

B. BlanqueD. Guichard
Winner
66
D. ArredondoJ. Padilla
34
Court 701:14

Pre-match odds

Blanque / Guichard

61%

Avg Elo 1461

Arredondo / Padilla

39%

Avg Elo 1421

Elo gap 40

Blanque / Guichard delivered as 61% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Blanque / GuichardArredondo / Padilla

56%
Points won
44%
73%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
27%
74%
1st-serve points won
62%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
40%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
71%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
29%
73%
1st-serve points won
54%
60%
2nd-serve points won
75%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
2
5
Service games
4

Set 2

54%
Points won
46%
75%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
25%
74%
1st-serve points won
69%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Blanque / Guichard first, Arredondo / Padilla second.

95 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 0–40
    6. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Arredondo / Padilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.