The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Shannan / Saadon v Alabdulla / Icardo

Grand Stand 201:25

Pre-match odds

Shannan / Saadon

43%

Avg Elo 1511

Alabdulla / Icardo

57%

Avg Elo 1534

Elo gap 23

Alabdulla / Icardo delivered as 57% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Shannan / SaadonAlabdulla / Icardo

41%
Points won
59%
51%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
49%
52%
1st-serve points won
77%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
17%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
8
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
59%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
41%
62%
1st-serve points won
71%
44%
2nd-serve points won
67%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
56%
17%
Break points converted
14%
5
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

33%
Points won
67%
39%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
61%
33%
1st-serve points won
92%
57%
2nd-serve points won
33%
8%
Points won returning 1st serve
67%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Shannan / Saadon first, Alabdulla / Icardo second.

97 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Alabdulla / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Shannan / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Alabdulla / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Shannan / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Alabdulla / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Shannan / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Alabdulla / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Shannan / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    9. 40–40
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Alabdulla / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Shannan / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Alabdulla / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Shannan / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Alabdulla / Icardo take it 6–1

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 1–4
    6. 1–5
    Tiebreak

Set 21–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 1–0

    Shannan / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–ABP
    11. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Alabdulla / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Shannan / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Alabdulla / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Shannan / Saadon serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Alabdulla / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Shannan / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Break
  8. 1–6

    Shannan / Saadon serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.