The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Nawaf / Nawaf v Al Janahi / Walid

M. NawafR. Nawaf
Winner
66
A. Al JanahiR. Walid
10
Grand Stand 200:39

Pre-match odds

Nawaf / Nawaf

42%

Avg Elo 1416

Al Janahi / Walid

58%

Avg Elo 1446

Elo gap 30

Nawaf / Nawaf won as slight underdogs (42%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Nawaf / NawafAl Janahi / Walid

69%
Points won
31%
74%
Points won on serve
35%
65%
Points won on return
26%
76%
1st-serve points won
35%
0%
2nd-serve points won
33%
65%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
71%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

64%
Points won
36%
73%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
27%
73%
1st-serve points won
44%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 2

77%
Points won
23%
75%
Points won on serve
20%
80%
Points won on return
25%
80%
1st-serve points won
23%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
77%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
75%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Nawaf / Nawaf first, Al Janahi / Walid second.

55 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    Hold

Set 25–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0BP
    6. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 5–0

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.