The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Waly / Saadon v Al Janahi / Al Janahi

Winner
67
Grand Stand 201:23

Pre-match odds

Waly / Saadon

37%

Avg Elo 1429

Al Janahi / Al Janahi

63%

Avg Elo 1477

Elo gap 48

Waly / Saadon won as slight underdogs (37%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Waly / SaadonAl Janahi / Al Janahi

58%
Points won
42%
71%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
29%
72%
1st-serve points won
52%
67%
2nd-serve points won
57%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
36%
Break points converted
33%
7
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
74%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
26%
71%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
70%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
30%
72%
1st-serve points won
53%
0%
2nd-serve points won
62%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
29%
Break points converted
33%
7
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Waly / Saadon first, Al Janahi / Al Janahi second.

100 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Al Janahi / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Al Janahi / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Al Janahi / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Al Janahi / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 26–5

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Al Janahi / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Al Janahi / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Al Janahi / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Al Janahi / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Al Janahi / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    Hold
  12. 6–5

    Al Janahi / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.