The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Goñi / Yanguas v Deus / Deus

A. GoñiM. Yanguas
Winner
466
M. DeusN. Deus
632
Grand Stand 101:38

Pre-match odds

Goñi / Yanguas

92%

Avg Elo 1767

Deus / Deus

8%

Avg Elo 1558

Elo gap 209

Goñi / Yanguas delivered as 92% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Goñi / YanguasDeus / Deus

55%
Points won
45%
73%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
27%
75%
1st-serve points won
62%
40%
2nd-serve points won
75%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
50%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
4
14
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

49%
Points won
51%
65%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
35%
62%
1st-serve points won
70%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
75%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
25%
81%
1st-serve points won
59%
0%
2nd-serve points won
80%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
33%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 3

63%
Points won
37%
84%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
16%
89%
1st-serve points won
50%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
11%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Goñi / Yanguas first, Deus / Deus second.

109 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. The feed had gaps during this match, so some games are missing.

Set 14–6

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Break
  11. 5–5

    Goñi / Yanguas serving

      —

    Set 26–3

    Breaks 0–0

    1. 1–0

      Goñi / Yanguas serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15
      Hold
    2. 1–1

      Deus / Deus serving

      1. 15–15
      2. 30–15
      3. 40–30BP
      4. 40–40
      5. 40–A
      Hold
    3. 2–1

      Goñi / Yanguas serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 0–0
      3. 15–0
      4. 30–0
      5. 30–15
      Hold
    4. 2–2

      Deus / Deus serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40
      Hold
    5. 3–2

      Goñi / Yanguas serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 40–0
      4. 40–15
      5. 40–30
      6. 40–40
      7. A–40
      Hold
    6. 3–3

      Deus / Deus serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 15–30
      Hold
    7. 4–3

      Goñi / Yanguas serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      Hold
    8. 4–3

      Deus / Deus serving

      1. 15–0

      1 game not captured

      —

    Set 35–2

    Breaks 2–0

    1. 1–0

      Deus / Deus serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–15
      3. 30–30
      4. 40–30BP
      Break
    2. 2–0

      Goñi / Yanguas serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      Hold
    3. 2–1

      Deus / Deus serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40
      Hold
    4. 3–1

      Goñi / Yanguas serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 40–0
      Hold
    5. 3–2

      Deus / Deus serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40
      4. 0–30
      5. 0–40
      Hold
    6. 4–2

      Goñi / Yanguas serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 40–0
      Hold
    7. 5–2

      Deus / Deus serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–15
      3. 40–15BP
      Break
    8. 5–2

      Goñi / Yanguas serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 30–30
      5. 40–30
      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.