The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Bergamini / De Avila Simonato v Meijer / Nolten

L. BergaminiM. De Avila Simonato
Winner
66
B. MeijerM. Nolten
33
Court 500:55

Pre-match odds

Bergamini / De Avila Simonato

77%

Avg Elo 1591

Meijer / Nolten

23%

Avg Elo 1486

Elo gap 105

Bergamini / De Avila Simonato delivered as 77% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Bergamini / De Avila SimonatoMeijer / Nolten

57%
Points won
43%
76%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
24%
76%
1st-serve points won
60%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
38%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
84%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
16%
83%
1st-serve points won
52%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Set 2

53%
Points won
47%
70%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
30%
71%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
20%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Bergamini / De Avila Simonato first, Meijer / Nolten second.

68 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. The feed had gaps during this match, so some games are missing.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 0–0

  1. 1–0

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–3

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40

    1 game not captured

    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.