The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Augsburger / Di Nenno v Montiel / Abbate

L. AugsburgerM. Di Nenno
Winner
66
A. MontielF. Abbate
11
Center Court00:49

Pre-match odds

Augsburger / Di Nenno

89%

Avg Elo 1825

Montiel / Abbate

11%

Avg Elo 1645

Elo gap 181

Augsburger / Di Nenno delivered as 89% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Augsburger / Di NennoMontiel / Abbate

67%
Points won
33%
77%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
23%
76%
1st-serve points won
38%
83%
2nd-serve points won
67%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
71%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

63%
Points won
37%
70%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
30%
65%
1st-serve points won
35%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
65%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
3
Service games
4

Set 2

71%
Points won
29%
84%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
16%
88%
1st-serve points won
44%
67%
2nd-serve points won
0%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
67%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Augsburger / Di Nenno first, Montiel / Abbate second.

66 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.