The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Tapia / Chingotto v Patiniotis / Brambilla

A. TapiaF. Chingotto
Winner
66
A. PatiniotisM. Brambilla
32
Center Court00:51

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Chingotto

99%

Avg Elo 2054

Patiniotis / Brambilla

1%

Avg Elo 1493

Elo gap 562

Tapia / Chingotto delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / ChingottoPatiniotis / Brambilla

63%
Points won
37%
76%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
24%
72%
1st-serve points won
54%
100%
2nd-serve points won
29%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
71%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
100%
9
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
80%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
20%
77%
1st-serve points won
67%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
70%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
30%
65%
1st-serve points won
42%
100%
2nd-serve points won
20%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
100%
9
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Tapia / Chingotto first, Patiniotis / Brambilla second.

67 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Tapia / Chingotto serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Patiniotis / Brambilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Tapia / Chingotto serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Patiniotis / Brambilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Tapia / Chingotto serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Patiniotis / Brambilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Tapia / Chingotto serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Patiniotis / Brambilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Tapia / Chingotto serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Patiniotis / Brambilla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Tapia / Chingotto serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Patiniotis / Brambilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Tapia / Chingotto serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Patiniotis / Brambilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Tapia / Chingotto serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Patiniotis / Brambilla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Tapia / Chingotto serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.