The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenNovember 6, 2026

Trumpler / Wunner v Frost / Yitbarek

J. TrumplerM. Wunner
63
L. FrostS. Yitbarek
Winner
76
Court 601:06

Pre-match odds

Trumpler / Wunner

30%

Avg Elo 1438

Frost / Yitbarek

70%

Avg Elo 1510

Elo gap 72

Frost / Yitbarek delivered as 70% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Trumpler / WunnerFrost / Yitbarek

44%
Points won
56%
61%
Points won on serve
79%
21%
Points won on return
39%
61%
1st-serve points won
78%
60%
2nd-serve points won
86%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
14%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
7
11
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

44%
Points won
56%
66%
Points won on serve
85%
15%
Points won on return
34%
68%
1st-serve points won
84%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
16%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
55%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
45%
53%
1st-serve points won
70%
100%
2nd-serve points won
80%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Trumpler / Wunner first, Frost / Yitbarek second.

96 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. The feed had gaps during this match, so some games are missing.

Set 16–7

Breaks 0–0

  1. 1–2

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 2–2

    Trumpler / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–3

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  4. 3–3

    Trumpler / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–4

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 4–4

    Trumpler / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–5

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  8. 5–5

    Trumpler / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 5–6

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  10. 6–6

    Trumpler / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  11. 6–7

    Frost / Yitbarek take it 7–3

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 0–3
    4. 0–4
    5. 0–5
    6. 1–5
    7. 2–5
    8. 3–6
    Tiebreak

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Trumpler / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Trumpler / Wunner serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 40–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Trumpler / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Trumpler / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Trumpler / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.