The Padel Brief

FinalMenNovember 7, 2026

Augsburger / Di Nenno v Goñi / Lebron

L. AugsburgerM. Di Nenno
752
A. GoñiJ. Lebron
Winner
576
Center Court01:59

Pre-match odds

Augsburger / Di Nenno

51%

Avg Elo 1825

Goñi / Lebron

49%

Avg Elo 1823

Elo gap 3

Goñi / Lebron won a near coin flip (49%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Augsburger / Di NennoGoñi / Lebron

46%
Points won
54%
63%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
37%
60%
1st-serve points won
73%
83%
2nd-serve points won
57%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
33%
Break points converted
57%
9
Longest run of points
9
16
Service games
16
Stats by set

Set 1

51%
Points won
49%
68%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
73%
71%
2nd-serve points won
100%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
61%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
39%
55%
1st-serve points won
65%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
20%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 3

33%
Points won
67%
56%
Points won on serve
89%
11%
Points won on return
44%
53%
1st-serve points won
94%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
6%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
9
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Augsburger / Di Nenno first, Goñi / Lebron second.

133 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 17–5

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

Set 25–7

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  12. 5–7

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    Hold

Set 32–5

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Augsburger / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 2–5

    Goñi / Lebron serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–40
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.