The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

Ustero / Sanchez v Osoro / Fassio

A. UsteroA. Sanchez
Winner
66
A. OsoroM. Fassio
33
Center Court01:29

Pre-match odds

Ustero / Sanchez

94%

Avg Elo 2044

Osoro / Fassio

6%

Avg Elo 1798

Elo gap 246

Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 94% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ustero / SanchezOsoro / Fassio

57%
Points won
43%
66%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
34%
65%
1st-serve points won
54%
70%
2nd-serve points won
33%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
30%
27%
Break points converted
14%
7
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

59%
Points won
41%
71%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
29%
75%
1st-serve points won
48%
60%
2nd-serve points won
40%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
30%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Set 2

55%
Points won
45%
63%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
37%
61%
1st-serve points won
61%
80%
2nd-serve points won
25%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
20%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Ustero / Sanchez first, Osoro / Fassio second.

109 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.