The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

Hemmes / De Vocht v Santos / Simas

J. HemmesT. De Vocht
Winner
66
M. SantosS. Simas
24
Grand Stand 201:30

Pre-match odds

Hemmes / De Vocht

46%

Avg Elo 1464

Santos / Simas

54%

Avg Elo 1478

Elo gap 14

Hemmes / De Vocht won a near coin flip (46%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Hemmes / De VochtSantos / Simas

61%
Points won
39%
84%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
16%
84%
1st-serve points won
53%
83%
2nd-serve points won
50%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
30%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
73%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
27%
72%
1st-serve points won
48%
75%
2nd-serve points won
60%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
4

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
95%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
5%
95%
1st-serve points won
57%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
5%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
17%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Hemmes / De Vocht first, Santos / Simas second.

92 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Hemmes / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Hemmes / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Hemmes / De Vocht serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Hemmes / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Hemmes / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Hemmes / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Hemmes / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Hemmes / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Hemmes / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.