The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

Nouws / Koek v Nogueira / Batlle

J. NouwsM. Koek
12
A. NogueiraA. Batlle
Winner
66
Grand Stand 201:03

Pre-match odds

Nouws / Koek

39%

Avg Elo 1403

Nogueira / Batlle

61%

Avg Elo 1443

Elo gap 40

Nogueira / Batlle delivered as 61% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Nouws / KoekNogueira / Batlle

38%
Points won
62%
47%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
53%
48%
1st-serve points won
69%
44%
2nd-serve points won
80%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
56%
0%
Break points converted
44%
4
Longest run of points
6
7
Service games
8
1
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

37%
Points won
63%
45%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
55%
39%
1st-serve points won
67%
75%
2nd-serve points won
83%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
61%
17%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
5
3
Service games
4
0
Double faults
1

Set 2

39%
Points won
61%
48%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
52%
54%
1st-serve points won
72%
20%
2nd-serve points won
75%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
0%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4
1
Double faults
0

Point by point

Scores read Nouws / Koek first, Nogueira / Batlle second.

77 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Nogueira / Batlle serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Nouws / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Nogueira / Batlle serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Nouws / Koek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Nogueira / Batlle serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Nouws / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Nogueira / Batlle serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold

Set 22–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Nouws / Koek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Nogueira / Batlle serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Nouws / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Nogueira / Batlle serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Nouws / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Nogueira / Batlle serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Nouws / Koek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Nogueira / Batlle serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.