The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

Groenveld / Betz v Santos / Ribeiro

L. GroenveldM. Betz
371
C. SantosP. Ribeiro
Winner
656
Grand Stand 202:41

Pre-match odds

Upset
Groenveld / Betz

70%

Avg Elo 1467

Santos / Ribeiro

30%

Avg Elo 1393

Elo gap 74

Santos / Ribeiro won with a 30% chance — about 1 in 3.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Groenveld / Betz first, Santos / Ribeiro second.

171 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold

Set 27–5

Breaks 3–2

  1. 1–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  11. 6–5

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break

Set 31–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Santos / Ribeiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.