The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

Tordoff / Phillips v Sermant / Vierendeels

A. TordoffL. Phillips
752
N. SermantR. Vierendeels
Winner
676
Court 602:20

Pre-match odds

Tordoff / Phillips

24%

Avg Elo 1362

Sermant / Vierendeels

76%

Avg Elo 1462

Elo gap 100

Sermant / Vierendeels delivered as 76% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tordoff / PhillipsSermant / Vierendeels

48%
Points won
52%
59%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
41%
63%
1st-serve points won
65%
30%
2nd-serve points won
47%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
53%
Points won returning 2nd serve
70%
29%
Break points converted
71%
11
Longest run of points
6
16
Service games
16
2
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
72%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
28%
80%
1st-serve points won
61%
33%
2nd-serve points won
40%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
25%
Break points converted
100%
10
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6
2
Double faults
0

Set 2

42%
Points won
58%
53%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
47%
54%
1st-serve points won
68%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 3

43%
Points won
57%
50%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
50%
52%
1st-serve points won
68%
33%
2nd-serve points won
40%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Tordoff / Phillips first, Sermant / Vierendeels second.

171 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–6

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Tordoff / Phillips take it 7–0

    1. 1–0
    2. 2–0
    3. 3–0
    4. 4–0
    5. 5–0
    6. 6–0
    Tiebreak

Set 25–7

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–15
    8. 30–30
    9. 40–30BP
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  12. 5–7

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    Hold

Set 32–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  8. 2–6

    Sermant / Vierendeels serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.