The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

Rodriguez / Beltramino v Sabrina / Sabatini

C. RodriguezO. Beltramino
Winner
67
F. SabrinaF. Sabatini
25
Court 701:17

Pre-match odds

Rodriguez / Beltramino

86%

Avg Elo 1530

Sabrina / Sabatini

14%

Avg Elo 1372

Elo gap 159

Rodriguez / Beltramino delivered as 86% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodriguez / BeltraminoSabrina / Sabatini

56%
Points won
44%
59%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
41%
62%
1st-serve points won
46%
44%
2nd-serve points won
50%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
56%
60%
Break points converted
50%
13
Longest run of points
7
10
Service games
10
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
52%
Points won on serve
31%
69%
Points won on return
48%
55%
1st-serve points won
27%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
73%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
57%
Break points converted
67%
13
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

53%
Points won
47%
63%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
37%
66%
1st-serve points won
60%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
67%
Break points converted
33%
8
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6
1
Double faults
0

Point by point

Scores read Rodriguez / Beltramino first, Sabrina / Sabatini second.

99 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 4–2

  1. 1–0

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Sabrina / Sabatini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Sabrina / Sabatini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Sabrina / Sabatini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Sabrina / Sabatini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 27–5

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Sabrina / Sabatini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–40
    4. A–40
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Sabrina / Sabatini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Sabrina / Sabatini serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Sabrina / Sabatini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40BP
    8. 30–30
    9. 30–40BP
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    12. 40–40
    13. 40–ABP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Sabrina / Sabatini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Rodriguez / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Sabrina / Sabatini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.