The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

Marija / Quevedo v Nesya / Putu

A. MarijaD. Quevedo
Winner
76
J. NesyaN. Putu
52
Court 701:10

Pre-match odds

Marija / Quevedo

73%

Avg Elo 1550

Nesya / Putu

27%

Avg Elo 1462

Elo gap 88

Marija / Quevedo delivered as 73% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Marija / QuevedoNesya / Putu

59%
Points won
41%
72%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
28%
71%
1st-serve points won
47%
75%
2nd-serve points won
71%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
44%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
68%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
32%
66%
1st-serve points won
41%
80%
2nd-serve points won
100%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
29%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
78%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
22%
81%
1st-serve points won
54%
71%
2nd-serve points won
33%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Marija / Quevedo first, Nesya / Putu second.

93 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–5

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Marija / Quevedo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Marija / Quevedo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Marija / Quevedo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Marija / Quevedo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Marija / Quevedo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  12. 7–5

    Marija / Quevedo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Marija / Quevedo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Marija / Quevedo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Marija / Quevedo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Marija / Quevedo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.