The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

El Nimr / Tawfik v Blaschke / Kurz

L. El NimrM. Tawfik
42
M. BlaschkeV. Kurz
Winner
66
Court 801:02

Pre-match odds

El Nimr / Tawfik

37%

Avg Elo 1485

Blaschke / Kurz

63%

Avg Elo 1531

Elo gap 47

Blaschke / Kurz delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

El Nimr / TawfikBlaschke / Kurz

42%
Points won
58%
56%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
44%
52%
1st-serve points won
71%
78%
2nd-serve points won
75%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
22%
0%
Break points converted
38%
4
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

44%
Points won
56%
68%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
32%
63%
1st-serve points won
78%
83%
2nd-serve points won
86%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
14%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

41%
Points won
59%
47%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
53%
45%
1st-serve points won
67%
67%
2nd-serve points won
60%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
29%
3
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read El Nimr / Tawfik first, Blaschke / Kurz second.

83 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 22–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 2–6

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.