The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

El Halaby / Hakim v Hering / Plümer

F. El HalabyM. Hakim
44
K. HeringL. Plümer
Winner
66
Court 801:13

Pre-match odds

Upset
El Halaby / Hakim

68%

Avg Elo 1485

Hering / Plümer

32%

Avg Elo 1419

Elo gap 66

Hering / Plümer won with a 32% chance — about 1 in 3.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

El Halaby / HakimHering / Plümer

45%
Points won
55%
55%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
45%
56%
1st-serve points won
65%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
44%
4
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
67%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
33%
67%
1st-serve points won
73%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

45%
Points won
55%
46%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
54%
47%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
67%
Break points converted
38%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read El Halaby / Hakim first, Hering / Plümer second.

92 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    El Halaby / Hakim serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    El Halaby / Hakim serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    El Halaby / Hakim serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    El Halaby / Hakim serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    El Halaby / Hakim serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 2–3

  1. 0–1

    El Halaby / Hakim serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    El Halaby / Hakim serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    El Halaby / Hakim serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 0–30
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    El Halaby / Hakim serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    El Halaby / Hakim serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.