The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

Arancibia / Ahumada v Miranda / Bareiro

C. ArancibiaK. Ahumada
Winner
66
C. MirandaO. Bareiro
30
Court 1300:47

Pre-match odds

Arancibia / Ahumada

34%

Avg Elo 1492

Miranda / Bareiro

66%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 59

Arancibia / Ahumada won as slight underdogs (34%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Arancibia / AhumadaMiranda / Bareiro

62%
Points won
38%
70%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
30%
75%
1st-serve points won
57%
50%
2nd-serve points won
20%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
71%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
6
7
Service games
8
1
Aces
0
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

54%
Points won
46%
68%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
32%
70%
1st-serve points won
76%
60%
2nd-serve points won
20%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
67%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5
0
Double faults
1

Set 2

75%
Points won
25%
75%
Points won on serve
25%
75%
Points won on return
25%
85%
1st-serve points won
27%
33%
2nd-serve points won
20%
73%
Points won returning 1st serve
15%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
75%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3
1
Aces
0

Point by point

Scores read Arancibia / Ahumada first, Miranda / Bareiro second.

60 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Miranda / Bareiro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Miranda / Bareiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Miranda / Bareiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Miranda / Bareiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Miranda / Bareiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Miranda / Bareiro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Miranda / Bareiro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Arancibia / Ahumada serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Miranda / Bareiro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.