The Padel Brief

FinalWomenNovember 7, 2026

Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo v Alejandra / Lucia

A. Paz Candia GonzalezM. Lobo
Winner
77
M. AlejandraM. Lucia
65
Court 1301:48

Pre-match odds

Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo

50%

Avg Elo 1550

Alejandra / Lucia

50%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 0

Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo won a near coin flip (50%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Paz Candia Gonzalez / LoboAlejandra / Lucia

53%
Points won
47%
63%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
37%
63%
1st-serve points won
58%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
75%
7
Longest run of points
5
12
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
62%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
38%
62%
1st-serve points won
57%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

54%
Points won
46%
65%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
35%
65%
1st-serve points won
59%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo first, Alejandra / Lucia second.

129 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–6

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 15–0
    6. 30–15
    7. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  11. 5–6

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo take it 12–10

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 1–2
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 4–3
    8. 4–4
    9. 5–4
    10. 5–5
    11. 5–6
    12. 6–6
    13. 6–7
    14. 7–7
    15. 8–7
    16. 8–8
    17. 8–9
    18. 9–9
    19. 10–9
    20. 10–10
    21. 11–10
    Tiebreak

Set 27–5

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Paz Candia Gonzalez / Lobo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.