The Padel Brief

FinalMenNovember 7, 2026

Windahl / Vasquez v Bergamini / De Avila Simonato

D. WindahlS. Vasquez
Winner
366
L. BergaminiM. De Avila Simonato
613
Court 501:27

Pre-match odds

Windahl / Vasquez

38%

Avg Elo 1547

Bergamini / De Avila Simonato

62%

Avg Elo 1591

Elo gap 44

Windahl / Vasquez won as slight underdogs (38%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Windahl / VasquezBergamini / De Avila Simonato

52%
Points won
48%
64%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
36%
64%
1st-serve points won
61%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
14%
7
Longest run of points
6
12
Service games
13
1
Aces
1
Stats by set

Set 1

38%
Points won
62%
53%
Points won on serve
83%
17%
Points won on return
47%
53%
1st-serve points won
83%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
25%
3
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5
0
Aces
1

Set 2

68%
Points won
32%
77%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
23%
83%
1st-serve points won
41%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3
1
Aces
0

Set 3

55%
Points won
45%
67%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
33%
62%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Windahl / Vasquez first, Bergamini / De Avila Simonato second.

115 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–40
    4. A–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  9. 3–6

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold

Set 36–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–40
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Bergamini / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.