The Padel Brief

FinalMenNovember 7, 2026

Fitzon / Jülich v Richters / Roper

B. FitzonV. Jülich
12
S. RichtersT. Roper
Winner
66
Court 600:42

Pre-match odds

Fitzon / Jülich

50%

Avg Elo 1518

Richters / Roper

50%

Avg Elo 1518

Elo gap 0

Richters / Roper won a near coin flip (50%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Fitzon / JülichRichters / Roper

33%
Points won
67%
48%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
52%
50%
1st-serve points won
85%
38%
2nd-serve points won
80%
15%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
62%
0%
Break points converted
57%
3
Longest run of points
7
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

26%
Points won
74%
40%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
60%
36%
1st-serve points won
82%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
18%
Points won returning 1st serve
64%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
6
3
Service games
4

Set 2

38%
Points won
62%
52%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
48%
56%
1st-serve points won
88%
25%
2nd-serve points won
67%
12%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Fitzon / Jülich first, Richters / Roper second.

53 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Fitzon / Jülich serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Fitzon / Jülich serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 0–5

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Fitzon / Jülich serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold

Set 22–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Fitzon / Jülich serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Fitzon / Jülich serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Fitzon / Jülich serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Fitzon / Jülich serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.