The Padel Brief

FinalMenNovember 7, 2026

Robert / Joris v Popovich / Miltos

J. RobertM. Joris
Winner
666
M. PopovichS. Miltos
271
Court 701:42

Pre-match odds

Robert / Joris

36%

Avg Elo 1500

Popovich / Miltos

64%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 50

Robert / Joris won as slight underdogs (36%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Robert / JorisPopovich / Miltos

56%
Points won
44%
67%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
33%
67%
1st-serve points won
52%
71%
2nd-serve points won
64%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
36%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
35%
Break points converted
67%
7
Longest run of points
8
14
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

63%
Points won
37%
68%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
32%
65%
1st-serve points won
35%
100%
2nd-serve points won
60%
65%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
4

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
63%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
37%
62%
1st-serve points won
64%
67%
2nd-serve points won
60%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
20%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 3

64%
Points won
36%
76%
Points won on serve
46%
54%
Points won on return
24%
79%
1st-serve points won
43%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Robert / Joris first, Popovich / Miltos second.

128 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 0–1

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  11. 5–6

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Popovich / Miltos take it 7–4

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 0–3
    4. 0–4
    5. 0–5
    6. 1–5
    7. 2–5
    8. 3–5
    9. 3–6
    10. 4–6
    Tiebreak

Set 36–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Popovich / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Robert / Joris serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.