The Padel Brief

FinalMenNovember 7, 2026

Montoya / Barrientos v Molina / Salinas

J. MontoyaL. Barrientos
Winner
636
C. MolinaD. Salinas
263
Court 801:41

Pre-match odds

Montoya / Barrientos

39%

Avg Elo 1422

Molina / Salinas

61%

Avg Elo 1461

Elo gap 39

Montoya / Barrientos won as slight underdogs (39%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Montoya / Barrientos first, Molina / Salinas second.

125 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 36–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40BP
    12. 40–40
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Molina / Salinas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Montoya / Barrientos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.