The Padel Brief

FinalMenNovember 7, 2026

Al Khanji / Abdulla v De Armas / Ruiz

M. Al KhanjiR. Abdulla
13
J. De ArmasR. Ruiz
Winner
66
Grand Stand 200:40

Pre-match odds

Al Khanji / Abdulla

47%

Avg Elo 1438

De Armas / Ruiz

53%

Avg Elo 1448

Elo gap 11

De Armas / Ruiz won a near coin flip (53%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Al Khanji / Abdulla first, De Armas / Ruiz second.

59 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Al Khanji / Abdulla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Al Khanji / Abdulla serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Al Khanji / Abdulla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Al Khanji / Abdulla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Al Khanji / Abdulla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Al Khanji / Abdulla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Al Khanji / Abdulla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Al Khanji / Abdulla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  9. 3–6

    De Armas / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.