The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 8, 2026

Capra / Sanchez v Roper / Släryd

L. CapraM. Sanchez
Winner
66
T. RoperW. Släryd
33
Center Court01:04

Pre-match odds

Capra / Sanchez

70%

Avg Elo 1604

Roper / Släryd

30%

Avg Elo 1529

Elo gap 75

Capra / Sanchez delivered as 70% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Capra / SanchezRoper / Släryd

55%
Points won
45%
68%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
32%
71%
1st-serve points won
58%
50%
2nd-serve points won
43%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
27%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
61%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
39%
66%
1st-serve points won
57%
25%
2nd-serve points won
100%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
67%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
77%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
23%
77%
1st-serve points won
61%
75%
2nd-serve points won
33%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
12%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Capra / Sanchez first, Roper / Släryd second.

85 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Roper / Släryd serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–ABP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Roper / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Roper / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Roper / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Roper / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Roper / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    6. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Roper / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Roper / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Roper / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.