The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 8, 2026

Dorta / Aliaga v Figuerola / Belmont

D. DortaP. Aliaga
Winner
637
G. FiguerolaR. Belmont
266
Court 301:54

Pre-match odds

Dorta / Aliaga

45%

Avg Elo 1554

Figuerola / Belmont

55%

Avg Elo 1570

Elo gap 16

Dorta / Aliaga won a near coin flip (45%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dorta / AliagaFiguerola / Belmont

52%
Points won
48%
58%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
42%
61%
1st-serve points won
56%
30%
2nd-serve points won
50%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
70%
62%
Break points converted
40%
6
Longest run of points
7
14
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
67%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
33%
70%
1st-serve points won
47%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

42%
Points won
58%
48%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
52%
48%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
60%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
5

Set 3

53%
Points won
47%
58%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
42%
63%
1st-serve points won
54%
20%
2nd-serve points won
40%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
50%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Dorta / Aliaga first, Figuerola / Belmont second.

154 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–ABP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 0–5

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

Set 37–6

Breaks 2–2

  1. 1–0

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Dorta / Aliaga serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Figuerola / Belmont serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Dorta / Aliaga take it 7–4

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 4–3
    8. 5–3
    9. 6–3
    10. 6–4
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.